Runway is tight but manageable: 8.1 months at the current burn.
- Hold non-critical hiring until paid volume offsets payroll or runway clears 12 months.7
- Payroll is the pressure point; Stripe growth is not offsetting spend yet.4
- Reforecast in 30 days after the next payroll, contractor, and infra close.2
The math
| Metric | Current read | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| Cash | $420k | June close balance.1 |
| Net burn | $52k/mo | Up slightly from April and May.2 |
| Runway | 8.1 months | $420k divided by $52k monthly burn.3 |
| Paid volume | +9% MoM | Helpful, but not enough to offset payroll yet.4 |
Monthly burn
Cash trajectory by burn rate ($k)
What matters
| Factor | Current read | Effect on runway |
|---|---|---|
| Payroll | largest controllable driver | compresses runway if hiring continues |
| Paid volume | growing, but not enough yet | helps only after it offsets payroll |
| Next close | June closed at $52k/mo | resets the runway calculation |
Decision: freeze marginal hiring now. Keep revenue-tied roles and reliability work, then reforecast after the next payroll close.6
Operating plan
| When | Move |
|---|---|
| Now | Hold hiring except roles tied to committed revenue or reliability.5 |
| 30 days | Refresh the model after payroll, contractor, and infra changes close.2 |
| Unlock | Reopen growth spend only after runway clears 12 months or paid volume offsets payroll.7 |